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Market Trend: Bitcoin Definitively Crosses Below $3,000

By | Coinscious Lab, Data Analytics, Market Report | No Comments

Coinscious Market Report – December 10, 2018


Released bi-weekly, this report aims to identify broad trends in the cryptocurrency market. In order to reflect the latest developments in this fast-paced and volatile market, the reports are planned to focus on metrics derived from a 30-day rolling window of data, this time from November 7, 2018 to December 7, 2018. In this report, we also provide analysis on bitcoin price movements from a technical perspective to see where the market as a whole may be headed in the near future.

Our universe of analysis includes 50 of some of the most widely used and traded cryptocurrencies and groups them into sectors that reflect similar utility and valuation models. Through analysis of the recent historical performance of individual cryptocurrencies as well as their sectors, we provide a framework for analysis where investors can identify outperforming cryptocurrencies or sectors by comparing their performance relative to peers.

Sector
Constituent Coins/Tokens
Digital Cash BTC, BCH, BSV, LTC, BTG, DOGE, DCR, BCD, DGB
Privacycoins XMR, DASH, ZEC, XVG
DApp Platforms ETH, EOS, ADA, NEO, ETC, XEM, XTZ, QTUM, LSK, AE, ZIL, ICX, BTM, ETP
Resources SC, GNT
Payments and Settlements XRP, XLM, OMG, NPXS, MKR, PPT
Decentralized Exchanges BTS, ZRX, WAVES
Digital Content TRX, ONT, BAT, STEEM
Data and Information IOTA, VET, LINK, REP
Stablecoin USDT, TUSD, DAI

Introducing Crypto Market Reports by Coinscious Lab

By | Coinscious Lab, Data Analytics, Market Report | No Comments

We’re excited to share our first Coinscious Market Report by Coinscious Lab. Released bi-weekly, this report aims to identify broad trends in the cryptocurrency market. In order to reflect the latest developments in this fast-paced and volatile market, the reports are planned to focus on metrics derived from a 30-day rolling window of data, this time from October 23, 2018 to November 22, 2018.

Our universe of analysis includes 50 of some of the most widely used and traded cryptocurrencies and groups them into sectors that reflect similar utility and valuation models. Through analysis of the recent historical performance of individual cryptocurrencies as well as their sectors, we provide a framework for analysis where investors can identify outperforming cryptocurrencies or sectors by comparing their performance relative to peers.

Sector
Constituent Coins/Tokens
Digital Cash BTC, BCH, BSV, LTC, BTG, DOGE, DCR, BCD, DGB
Privacycoins XMR, DASH, ZEC, XVG
DApp Platforms ETH, EOS, ADA, NEO, ETC, XEM, XTZ, QTUM, LSK, AE, ZIL, ICX, BTM, ETP
Resources SC, GNT
Payments and Settlements XRP, XLM, OMG, NPXS, MKR, PPT
Decentralized Exchanges BTS, ZRX, WAVES
Digital Content TRX, ONT, BAT, STEEM
Data and Information IOTA, VET, LINK, REP
Stablecoin USDT, TUSD, DAI

Read more: Coinscious Market Report: November 23, 2018

Cryptocurrency Arbitrage

What is Arbitrage?

By | Cryptocurrency | No Comments

What Is Arbitrage and How Is It Used in the Coin Market?

The Merriam-Webster dictionary defines arbitrage this way:

The near simultaneous purchase and sale of securities or foreign exchange in different markets in order to profit from price discrepancies.

Let’s break that down further and also understand how arbitrage strategies are used in the cryptocurrency market.

A Simplified Explanation of Arbitrage

Arbitrage is considered a no-risk profit strategy when executed against traditional financial instruments. Why? Because you are buying an asset and selling it simultaneously for a higher price at a profit. It’s considered no risk because there is no hold time or delay between the transactions and the profit is guaranteed.

This type of transaction can be completed with any asset type, but typically the assets are bonds, stocks, currency or other financial instruments.

Here’s a simplified example. A stock is trading for $10 in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), but is trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TYO) for $11. You would buy the NYSE stock at the lower price and simultaneously sell the stock in the TYO, making a $1 profit per share.

Because of automated trading systems and high-frequency trades it’s rare for this sort of price discrepancy to occur, making it rare for arbitrage trades like this to happen. Today, when these discrepancies are noticed, they usually only last for a short window of time, measured in seconds or even microseconds. High interest in the “cheap” stock raises its price and subsequently drives down the price of the “expensive” stock. Even before automated trades, arbitrage was viewed as a mechanism for maintaining equilibrium across markets.

What Does Arbitrage Have to Do with Cryptocurrency?

Unlike the stock market, the coin market is ripe for arbitrage. Cryptocurrency don’t support high-frequency trading, which means there are fewer automated trading robots controlling or responding to price fluctuation. There are fewer pressures or controls to ensure pricing equilibrium across exchanges. Also, when new exchanges open, they offer an opportunity to buy in a more established exchange to sell at a profit in the new exchange.

If you plan to pursue arbitrage as a trading strategy, there are three things you must consider:

  • Fees. This can include trading fees, withdrawal or deposit fees, and blockchain fees. You have to calculate if the fees you incur will eat the profit that you anticipate making.
  • Time. Rarely do trades happen simultaneously in the coin market as they can in the automated stock exchanges. You have to weigh the risk that you’ll miss the pricing window if a trade is slowed down for some reason.
  • Risk. Arbitrage in the stock market is considered no risk. Because of the time and fee considerations mentioned above, arbitrage in the coin market is hardly a no-risk venture.

What Do You Need to Profit from Coin Arbitrage?

Reliable information about cryptocurrency is one of the most valuable assets you can possess. In this relatively new market, it’s also one of the hardest assets to find.

If you plan to use arbitrage in the coin market, what information and tools should you look for?

  • Rates: To benefit from arbitrage, you’ll need to know current rates of exchange. Seek out information sites that provide up-to-date coin prices.
  • Opportunities: Try to access a service that can send alerts about potential opportunities. Alerts can help you act on opportunities before other traders do.
  • Simulations: Success in the coin market relies on creating and executing smart trade strategies. Simulation tools can help you validate and improve your trade strategies.
  • Bots: Automation helps traders stay on top of market changes. You can use bots set up to take specific actions based on limits that you set.

You may need nerves of steel to execute coin arbitrage, but having reliable, credible information should remove at least some of the guesswork.

Actionable Intelligence: What’s Missing from the Cryptocurrency Trading Market

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Actionable intelligence: Relevant information needed to make a decision or take an action, usually quickly.

You’ve probably heard the phrase actionable intelligence before. Sometimes it’s used in law enforcement. When an informant or a witness tells a law officer about a crime they’ve observed or about plans to commit a crime, that’s actionable intelligence. It gives law enforcement reasonable cause to take an action of some kind.

The phrase also applies to business and refers to any information that gives a business a competitive edge or improves its performance. For example, a business hears that a competitor plans a sale of a product tied to a holiday. The business may then match that sale and perhaps start it earlier to get a jump on their competition.

Market Immaturity Distorts Intelligence

Actionable intelligence is news you can use. Right now, reliable information that can be acted on is missing from the cryptocurrency trading market. Traders have access to some information, but its accuracy may be in doubt. Traders rarely have access to key information they can use to inform their market moves.

Cryptocurrency trading faces the same pressures that other new markets have faced. There is little infrastructure to support this market. Some coin exchanges must suspend account creation due to high demand and load. Traders worry about security issues, delayed transactions, price manipulation, and robot use by other traders. Risk, uncertainty, and security concerns loom large over coin trades. There’s also little if any regulation of these markets, causing some traders to lose faith in the exchanges. Price manipulation and hacking incidents erode investor trust. Every country is coming to terms with the arrival of cryptocurrency. Some are embracing the market as a sign of things to come. Others are fiercely opposing the markets, believing cryptocurrency to be a nuisance that will eventually disappear.

The volatility and unregulated nature of these markets means investors must stay aware of security issues. Hyperbolic ads, planted news reports, and social media hysteria create a “gold rush” mentality convincing people to sink their money into questionable coin offerings. For the serious investor, the challenge comes in separating reliable data from noise.

For all these reasons, Coinscious is determined to deliver actionable intelligence in their platform. While other sites and apps simply provide information, Coinscious actively uncovers patterns in the information. With these AI-generated and data-driven insights, traders are better equipped to build portfolios and create, execute, and refine their trade strategies.

Defining Actionable Intelligence

Despite continued signs of volatility, the cryptocurrency market is actually maturing. Governments and regulatory bodies are paying close attention because of the value flowing through the market. Investors are looking for dependable intelligence that they can use to create smart trading strategies. Traders are clamoring for tools like those used by stock market investors, which can regulate their trades and follow buy/sell rules. These are all signs that sanity is gaining ground in this emerging field.

As this market continues to mature, what attributes should traders want in the information they use to inform their decisions?

  • Reliable: Find sources that offer intelligence regularly and that have proven to be dependable.
  • Credible: Credible sources offer reasonable grounds for being believed. These sources are backed by primary data that can be checked against.
  • Hype-free: Much of the publicity surrounding the coin market is filled with hype and traders may allow emotion to drive trades. It’s important to track sentiment, but that measure needs to be correlated to price data.
  • Timely: Intelligence only matters if it comes early enough to be acted on. Serious traders need a consistent flow of information that comes on time every time.
  • Accurate: Information does no good if it’s riddled with errors. You need exacting, error-free data as you maneuver through the coin market.

Using the Power of AI and Deep Learning to Deliver Actionable Intelligence

The Coinscious Collective™ platform tracks price, trade, and social media data, using AI to separate data from hype. The goal is to deliver actionable intelligence that investors can use to evaluate market performance and create smarter strategies. The platform uses deep learning to reveal hidden patterns. Our models generalize future trends while also factoring in uncertainty. In this way, the Coinscious Collective™ platform limits non-essential data and delivers statistically credible information that both amateur and professional investors can rely on.

Want to understand how the Coinscious Collective™ platform delivers actionable intelligence? Visit Coinscious.io to learn how Coinscious works.